Daily Telegraph poll predicts Damien Moore will lose Southport seat at next election

A political poll commissioned by Daily Telegraph has predicted that Damien Moore will lose his seat at the next general election.

Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus asked the voting intentions of over 10,000 people between 29 November and 1 December. The poll predicts that the Conservatives will lose 77 MPs nationally, including Damien Moore’s Southport seat.

The poll also predicts that Labour, rather than the Liberal Democrats, will win the seat. Labour has never won the Southport constituency since it was created in 1885.

According to Electoral Calculus, local turnout will be 58%, with 24% of constituents voting Labour, 21% Conservative, 7% Liberal Democrat, 4% Green, and approximately 2-3% voting for any other parties that stand.

The next UK general election must be held no later than Thursday, 2 May, 2024.

Chris Holbrook, CEO of Find Out Now, said: “A combination of a tough month for the Conservatives and Keir Starmer belatedly benefiting from media appearances are making some previously solid Tory seats look shakey.”

Martin Baxter, CEO of Electoral Calculus, said: “Our latest poll with Find Out Now shows the Conservatives are not doing well with the public. Labour is now about equal in popularity and likely to win nearly as many seats if there were a sudden election. Given the parliamentary arithmetic, it could be more likely for Keir Starmer to be Prime Minister. That’s a big change since Labour’s relatively poor performance at the local elections earlier this year.”